Football
Ekstraklasa Ekstraklasa
· Regular Season - 33
Korona Kielce

Korona Kielce

1–0

Full Time

Widzew Łódź

Widzew Łódź

🏟 Exbud Arena, Kielce
🟡 T. Kwiatkowski
📋 Regular Season - 33
📅 2025

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Korona Kielce or Draw

Double Chance

75%

confidence

Odds: 1.4 bookmaker Medium Risk

Double Chance: Korona Kielce or Draw is a safe pick given the balanced evidence. Head-to-head data shows Korona winning 6 out of 10 encounters and covering draws in another, while the home team’s league record further supports a protective outcome. Although Korona’s recent last‐5 form is only 20%, the H2H and season stats provide a counterbalance. The provided bookmaker odds of 1.40 support a conservative approach with lower risk. This option minimizes exposure amid contrasting away form (60% last‑5 for Widzew Łódź) while capitalizing on home H2H strengths. Overall, the convergence of evidence suggests a reliable outcome with a 75% estimated probability.

Best Value

Korona Kielce Win

3-Way Result

The 3-Way Result predicting a Korona Kielce win offers excellent value with a significant edge. With an assigned probability of 80%, it far exceeds the implied 40.8% chance from the bookmaker odds of 2.45. H2H metrics notably favor Korona with an 80% assignment, and they’ve won 6 out of 10 previous encounters. Season stats and the Poisson distribution (57% for home) further back this assessment despite contrasting away last‑5 form. The convergent evidence and a calculated value edge above 30% justify an optimal pick. Despite inherent risks in switching form trends, the statistical support makes this option compelling.

80%

prob.

2.45

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Korona Kielce Win

Korona won 6 out of 10 H2H matches (60%).

80%

odds 2.45

Double Chance

Korona Kielce or Draw

H2H outcomes show 7 out of 10 matches ending in win or draw (70%).

75%

odds 1.4

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Korona Kielce
Korona Kielce
LDLWL
Widzew Łódź
Widzew Łódź
LWDDD

Current Standings

11
Korona Kielce
Korona Kielce
34 P 11 W 43 Pts
14
Widzew Łódź
Widzew Łódź
34 P 12 W 42 Pts

Head to Head

15 May 26
Korona Kielce Korona Kielce
1–0
Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź
H
23 Nov 25
Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź
1–3
Korona Kielce Korona Kielce
A
11 Apr 25
Korona Kielce Korona Kielce
2–1
Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź
H
4 Dec 24
Korona Kielce Korona Kielce
1–0
Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź
H
4 Oct 24
Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź
0–1
Korona Kielce Korona Kielce
A

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan
34 16 60
2
Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze
34 16 56
3
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia
34 15 56
4
Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa
34 16 55
5
GKS Katowice GKS Katowice
34 14 50
6
Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa
34 12 49
7
Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin
34 13 48
8
Wisla Plock Wisla Plock
34 12 46
9
Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin
34 13 45
10
Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom
34 11 44
11
Korona Kielce Korona Kielce
34 11 43
12
Motor Lublin Motor Lublin
34 10 43
13
Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow
34 9 42
14
Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź
34 12 42
15
Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice
34 11 41
16
Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk
34 12 38
17
Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia
34 9 36
18
Nieciecza Nieciecza
34 9 34
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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