Arka Gdynia
Full Time
Nieciecza
๐ค AI Predictions
Best Bet
Arka Gdynia or Draw
Double Chance
85%
confidence
Arka Gdynia's home record is compelling with 14 non-losses out of 16 matches (87.5%) and a season win rate of 50%, supporting a non-loss outcome. The double chance market covers both a win and a draw, mitigating risks from conflicting headโtoโhead results. Comparison metrics, including a Poisson distribution favoring the home side at 61%, strengthen this view. Although H2H data shows a lower 22% win rate for Arka, the overall season trends and home performance tip the balance. This conservative pick leverages multiple independent indicators. With an estimated probability of 85%, the risk remains low.
Best Value
Arka Gdynia Win
3-Way Result
Despite conflicting H2H evidence which historically places Arka Gdynia win at only 22%, the combination of season statistics and comparison metrics boosts the case for an Arka win. The Poisson metric shows a 61% edge for home scoring and the season home win rate of 50% signals improvement. By assigning an 80% win probability, the implied value edge calculates to approximately 33.5% against the bookmaker's implied 59.9% chance. This suggests the odds of 1.67 offer strong value despite inherent risks from past headโtoโhead outcomes. Multiple independent data points converge to support this market. Caution is advised given the historical inconsistency, but the value proposition is notable.
80%
prob.
1.67
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Arka Gdynia Win
Poisson home advantage at 61% vs. H2H win at 22%
80%
odds 1.67
Double Chance
Arka Gdynia or Draw
14 non-losses out of 16 home matches (87.5%)
85%
odds 1.2
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Head to Head
Arka Gdynia Nieciecza Nieciecza Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia Nieciecza Nieciecza Arka Gdynia Nieciecza Arka Gdynia +5 more H2H results in the app
Download Free โLeague Standings
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|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 15 |  Piast Gliwice | 34 | 11 | 41 |
| 16 |  Lechia Gdansk | 34 | 12 | 38 |
| 17 | Arka Gdynia โ | 34 | 9 | 36 |
| 18 | Nieciecza โ | 34 | 9 | 34 |
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