Football
Ekstraklasa Ekstraklasa
· Regular Season - 31
Raków Częstochowa

Raków Częstochowa

0–2

Full Time

Jagiellonia

Jagiellonia

🏟 zondacrypto Arena, Czestochowa
🟡 S. Marciniak
📋 Regular Season - 31
📅 2025

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Raków Częstochowa Win

3-Way Result

80%

confidence

Odds: 2.05 bookmaker Medium Risk

Our highest confidence pick is a Raków Częstochowa win given their home advantage and superior recent form. The comparison metrics show a 58% home form versus 42% away and last-5 form is 73% for Raków compared to 53% for Jagiellonia. Head-to-head results are even, but home advantage matters here. Season stats also favor Raków with a higher scoring average of 2.0 versus 1.6 for Jagiellonia. Although some metrics like Poisson slightly favor the away side, the dominant indicators point to Raków. We assign an 80% probability with medium risk to this pick.

Best Value

Raków Częstochowa or Draw

Double Chance

The best value option is the Double Chance on Raków Częstochowa or Draw, which covers the favorable home form and mitigates risk. With Raków’s last-5 form at 73% and overall home form at 58%, this option captures the balanced head-to-head plus the safety net of a draw. The convergence of evidence from season stats and comparison metrics supports an 85% probability. This choice also offers a strong value edge with robust implied probability. Risks remain from a balanced h2h record, but the statistical advantage gives it solid value.

85%

prob.

1.36

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Raków Częstochowa Win

Home form 58% vs. Away 42%

80%

odds 2.05

Double Chance

Raków Częstochowa or Draw

Last-5 form: Raków 73% vs. Jagiellonia 53%

85%

odds 1.36

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Raków Częstochowa
Raków Częstochowa
WWDWD
Jagiellonia
Jagiellonia
WDDLW

Current Standings

3
Jagiellonia
Jagiellonia
34 P 15 W 56 Pts
4
Raków Częstochowa
Raków Częstochowa
34 P 16 W 55 Pts

Head to Head

13 May 26
Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa
0–2
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia
A
2 Nov 25
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia
1–2
Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa
A
10 May 25
Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa
1–2
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia
A
10 Nov 24
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia
2–2
Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa
D
10 Dec 23
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia
4–2
Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa
H

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan
34 16 60
2
Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze
34 16 56
3
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia
34 15 56
4
Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa
34 16 55
5
GKS Katowice GKS Katowice
34 14 50
6
Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa
34 12 49
7
Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin
34 13 48
8
Wisla Plock Wisla Plock
34 12 46
9
Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin
34 13 45
10
Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom
34 11 44
11
Korona Kielce Korona Kielce
34 11 43
12
Motor Lublin Motor Lublin
34 10 43
13
Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow
34 9 42
14
Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź
34 12 42
15
Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice
34 11 41
16
Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk
34 12 38
17
Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia
34 9 36
18
Nieciecza Nieciecza
34 9 34
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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