The data indicates a strong away advantage with Ujpest showing a 58% form and 60% attacking edge compared to Debreceni's 42% and 40%. The H2H metric is 80% in favor of Ujpest and recent season stats show Ujpest averaging 2.4 goals versus Debreceni's 1.6. This convergence across multiple metrics supports a Ujpest win. Although home Poisson (53%) gives a slight nod to Debreceni, the majority of evidence favors Ujpest. The risk remains moderate given some conflicting seasonal nuances. Overall, confidence in a Ujpest win is justified by key figures of 80% in H2H and 58% in form.