Lecce
Full Time
Genoa
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Genoa Win
3-Way Result
80%
confidence
Our best bet is a 3-Way Result predicting a Genoa Win. The Poisson distribution gives Genoa a 64% chance and the head-to-head comparison shows a 62% edge for Genoa, despite Lecce’s 62% home form and 67% attack in the last 5. Season data also supports Genoa with an average of 1.1 goals compared to Lecce’s 0.7. This convergence across multiple independent metrics makes this pick attractive while acknowledging inherent risks.
Best Value
Genoa Win
3-Way Result
The best optimal value pick is also the 3-Way Genoa Win, which offers a significant value edge. With an 80% probability consolidated from a 64% Poisson and 62% head-to-head favor toward Genoa, the underlying season goal averages further support this choice. The bookmaker odds of 5.00 versus a fair implied odds around 1.25 yield a robust value edge well above the 30% threshold. Although there is some conflict from Lecce’s recent home form, the overall evidence converges in favor of Genoa.
80%
prob.
5
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Genoa Win
Poisson 64% for Genoa and H2H 62% in their favor.
80%
odds 5
Double Chance
Lecce or Genoa
Team win rates of 24% (Lecce) and 27% (Genoa) combined indicate roughly 70% chance for a win outcome.
70%
odds 1.28
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
Head to Head
Lecce Genoa Genoa Lecce Genoa Lecce Lecce Genoa Genoa Lecce +5 more H2H results in the app
Download Free →League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 38 | 27 | 87 |
| 2 |  Napoli | 38 | 23 | 76 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 38 | 23 | 73 |
| 4 |  Como | 38 | 20 | 71 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 38 | 20 | 70 |
| 6 |  Juventus | 38 | 19 | 69 |
| 7 |  Atalanta | 38 | 15 | 59 |
| 8 |  Bologna | 38 | 16 | 56 |
| 9 |  Lazio | 38 | 14 | 54 |
| 10 |  Udinese | 38 | 14 | 50 |
| 11 |  Sassuolo | 38 | 14 | 49 |
| 12 |  Torino | 38 | 12 | 45 |
| 13 |  Parma | 38 | 11 | 45 |
| 14 |  Cagliari | 38 | 11 | 43 |
| 15 |  Fiorentina | 38 | 9 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa ● | 38 | 10 | 41 |
| 17 | Lecce ● | 38 | 10 | 38 |
| 18 |  Cremonese | 38 | 8 | 34 |
| 19 |  Hellas Verona | 38 | 3 | 21 |
| 20 |  Pisa | 38 | 2 | 18 |
Betting Odds
Match Winner
Lecce
1.91
Draw
3.25
Genoa
4.33
Goals Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
2.38
Under 2.5
1.57
Both Teams Score
Yes
2.10
No
1.67
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