Football
Serie A Serie A
· Regular Season - 38
Fiorentina

Fiorentina

1–1

Full Time

Atalanta

Atalanta

🏟 Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence
🟡 M. Perri
📋 Regular Season - 38
📅 2025

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Away Win

3-Way Result

82%

confidence

Odds: 1.22 calculated Medium Risk

The 3-Way Result picks an Away Win based on multiple converging metrics: Atalanta's attacking strength (67% vs 33%) and Poisson distribution (58% for away) along with a 60% advantage in head-to-head data clearly tilt the balance despite Fiorentina’s slightly better form (55%). Additionally, Atalanta’s last-5 goal average of 1.2 compared to Fiorentina’s 0.6 reinforces the possibility of an away win. These statistics, including the h2h split of 40% home versus 60% away, justify a confident pick with moderate risk.

Best Value

Under 2.5

Goals Over/Under

The Goals Over/Under market shows strong value with Under 2.5 being supported by season and last-5 stats: Fiorentina’s under count of 35 (over 2 vs 2) and Atalanta’s similar trend (32 under vs 5 over) indicate a low-scoring affair. With a combined total average around 1.8 goals (0.6 for Fiorentina and 1.2 for Atalanta) and defensive metrics favoring fewer goals, the evidence converges to a 90% probability for Under 2.5. This bet offers a significant value edge with robust supporting metrics and low risk.

90%

prob.

1.11

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Away Win

H2H advantage: 60% for away

82%

odds 1.22

Double Chance

Away or Draw

Combined double chance probability around 85%

85%

odds 1.18

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
No data
Atalanta
Atalanta
LDLWW

Current Standings

7
Atalanta
Atalanta
38 P 15 W 59 Pts
15
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
38 P 9 W 42 Pts

Head to Head

22 May 26
Fiorentina Fiorentina
1–1
Atalanta Atalanta
D
30 Nov 25
Atalanta Atalanta
2–0
Fiorentina Fiorentina
H
30 Mar 25
Fiorentina Fiorentina
1–0
Atalanta Atalanta
H
15 Sept 24
Atalanta Atalanta
3–2
Fiorentina Fiorentina
H
2 Jun 24
Atalanta Atalanta
2–3
Fiorentina Fiorentina
A

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Atalanta Atalanta
0 0 0
2
Bologna Bologna
0 0 0
3
Cagliari Cagliari
0 0 0
4
Como Como
0 0 0
5
Fiorentina Fiorentina
0 0 0
6
Frosinone Frosinone
0 0 0
7
Genoa Genoa
0 0 0
8
Inter Inter
0 0 0
9
Juventus Juventus
0 0 0
10
Lazio Lazio
0 0 0
11
Lecce Lecce
0 0 0
12
AC Milan AC Milan
0 0 0
13
Monza Monza
0 0 0
14
Napoli Napoli
0 0 0
15
Parma Parma
0 0 0
16
AS Roma AS Roma
0 0 0
17
Sassuolo Sassuolo
0 0 0
18
Torino Torino
0 0 0
19
Udinese Udinese
0 0 0
20
Venezia Venezia
0 0 0
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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