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Serie A

· Regular Season - 38

Cremonese

1–4

Full Time

Como

🏟 Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona

🟡 Fabio Maresca, Italy

📋 Regular Season - 38

📅 2025

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Draw/Away

Double Chance

85%

confidence

Odds: 1.17 bookmaker Medium Risk

The Double Chance bet on Draw/Away is compelling given Como’s superior last-5 form at 67% compared to Cremonese’s 47% and a stronger defensive record in season (Como conceded 0.8 per match vs Cremonese’s 1.4). This market benefits from covering the most likely outcomes and mitigates risk from any one-off surprise, while H2H evidence shows frequent draws. Seasonal trends also back a non-loss for Como and a degree of unpredictability in the head-to-head. Although conflicting metrics exist, the convergence on a safer outcome gives us a solid 85% confidence.

Best Value

★★★★★

Como Win

3-Way Result

The 3-Way Result bet on a Como Win offers value when considering comparison metrics like a 77% Poisson advantage for the away side and a 59% form edge for Como. Although H2H figures favor Cremonese, season stats show Como’s superior attack (1.6 goals per match) and defensive solidity (0.8 goals conceded). This discrepancy creates a value edge; with bookmaker odds at 1.57, the implied probability is only about 63.7%, yielding an approximate edge of 16%, which rates as a moderate value edge. With an assigned confidence of 80%, this pick provides the best balance of risk and value.

80%

prob.

1.57

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Como Win

Poisson distribution: Away 77%

80%

odds 1.57

Double Chance

Draw/Away

Last-5 form: Como 67% vs Cremonese 47%

85%

odds 1.17

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Cremonese

No data

Como

LLLDW

Current Standings

Como

38 P 20 W 71 Pts

Cremonese

38 P 8 W 34 Pts

Head to Head

24 May 26

Cremonese

1–4

Como

27 Sept 25

Como

1–1

Cremonese

9 Mar 24

Cremonese

2–1

Como

8 Oct 23

Como

1–3

Cremonese

6 May 22

como

1–2

Cremonese

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League Standings

#	Team	P	W	Pts	Form
1	Inter	38	27	87	DDWWD
2	Napoli	38	23	76	WWLDW
3	AS Roma	38	23	73	WWWWW
4	Como ●	38	20	71	WWWDW
5	AC Milan	38	20	70	LWLLD
6	Juventus	38	19	69	DLWDD
7	Atalanta	38	15	59	DLWDL
8	Bologna	38	16	56	DWWDL
9	Lazio	38	14	54	WLLWD
10	Udinese	38	14	50	LLWWD
11	Sassuolo	38	14	49	LLLWD
12	Torino	38	12	45	DLWLD
13	Parma	38	11	45	WLLLW
14	Cagliari	38	11	43	WWLDW
15	Fiorentina	38	9	42	DWDLD
16	Genoa	38	10	41	LLDDL
17	Lecce	38	10	38	WWLWD
18	Cremonese ●	38	8	34	LWWLL
19	Hellas Verona	38	3	21	LDLDD
20	Pisa	38	2	18	LLLLL